FIM District Fenton Event presented by Gene Haas Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 80

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

85.63 – 55.33

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

105 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 25 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 245.4 ±11.7

5532The Panther Bots

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 6.76Rank 42Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5084Team FridgeBot

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 31.33Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7598SCA Constellations

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 47.54Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 157.8 ±13.9

3098Waterford Robotics

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 33.6Rank 34Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7772The Lucky 7's

Season APEX 54.6Event APEX 14.85Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5282Railroader Robotics

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 6.88Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5532, 5084, 7598

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5532, 5084, 7598

Auto

15.3 18%

Teleop

40.2 48%

Endgame

27.8 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3098, 7772, 5282

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3098, 7772, 5282

Auto

26.7 49%

Teleop

27.5 51%

Endgame

-0.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85.6pts

Blue projected score55.3pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 30.3
Score range: 29–112
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 191 vs event baseline 144.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

245.4Season APEX157.8

15.3Auto26.7

40.2Teleop27.5

27.8Endgame-0.2

57Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	25
teleop	61	46
endgame	25	15
foul	0	0
total	105	86

Result

Final score

105 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 25 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.