Qualification · Qualification 78
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
83.43 – 51.7
60%40%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
46 – 75
Prediction missed · off by 30.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 166.6 ±12.7
Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 37.08Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 30.67Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 15.68Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 136.1 ±12.7
Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 40.53Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 37.7Event APEX 0.88Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 10.29Rank 27Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6538, 9207, 6071
43
/ 100 compatProjected
83.4 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6538, 9207, 6071
Auto
18.5 23%
Teleop
33.6 41%
Endgame
29.1 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6548, 6190, 5603
26
/ 100 compatProjected
51.7 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 6548, 6190, 5603
Auto
23.5 53%
Teleop
24.1 54%
Endgame
-3.1 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.23
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score83.4pts
Blue projected score51.7pts
Red win probability60%
Event bonus sample198alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 31.7
- Score range
- 26–109
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
166.6Season APEX136.1
18.5Auto23.5
33.6Teleop24.1
29.1Endgame-3.1
0Consistency51
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 25 | 20 |
| teleop | 20 | 37 |
| endgame | 1 | 18 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 46 | 75 |
Result
Final score
46 – 75
Prediction missed · off by 30.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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