FIM District Fenton Event presented by Gene Haas Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

44.05 – 84.59

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

31 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 13.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 134 ±13.3

6190Cybernetic Crusaders

Season APEX 37.7Event APEX 3.04Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9207Redneck Robotics

Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 32.8Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5532The Panther Bots

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 8.21Rank 42Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 195.9 ±12.2

6071The Aluminators

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 17.79Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5603The WarriorBots

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 10.5Rank 27Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4810I AM Robot

Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 56.3Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6190, 9207, 5532

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6190, 9207, 5532

Auto

18.7 48%

Teleop

12.8 33%

Endgame

7.7 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6071, 5603, 4810

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6071, 5603, 4810

Auto

30.4 38%

Teleop

48.6 60%

Endgame

1.8 2%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score44.1pts

Blue projected score84.6pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -40.5
Score range: 18–111
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 130 vs event baseline 144.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

134Season APEX195.9

18.7Auto30.4

12.8Teleop48.6

7.7Endgame1.8

34Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	32
teleop	7	49
endgame	5	18
foul	0	0
total	31	99

Result

Final score

31 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 13.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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