FIM District Fenton Event presented by Gene Haas Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

70.29 – 70.29

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

93 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 199 ±12.2

9207Redneck Robotics

Season APEX 61.2Event APEX -Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3098Waterford Robotics

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX -Rank 34Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10978Complete Robotics

Season APEX 83.3Event APEX -Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 158.7 ±13.9

6071The Aluminators

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX -Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9455DinoMights

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX -Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9697Bionic Bucs

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX -Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9207, 3098, 10978

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9207, 3098, 10978

Auto

21.1 30%

Teleop

35.1 50%

Endgame

14.1 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6071, 9455, 9697

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6071, 9455, 9697

Auto

21.1 30%

Teleop

35.1 50%

Endgame

14.1 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.46 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score70.3pts

Blue projected score70.3pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 45–95
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 121 vs event baseline 140.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

199Season APEX158.7

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	15
teleop	48	8
endgame	24	0
foul	0	5
total	93	28

Result

Final score

93 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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