FIM District Fenton Event presented by Gene Haas Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

286.79 – 78.13

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

360 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 55 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 519.1 ±9.9

1322GRAYT Leviathons (Genesee Robotics Area Youth Team)

Season APEX 72.5Event APEX 40.41Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

70More Martians

Season APEX 208.5Event APEX 136.33Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

68Truck Town Thunder

Season APEX 238.1Event APEX 110.05Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 174.7 ±12.7

6071The Aluminators

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 18.12Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3568Linden RoboEagles

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 30.09Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9776Gator Gears

Season APEX 69.3Event APEX 29.92Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1322, 70, 68

/ 100 compat

Projected

286.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1322, 70, 68

Auto

54.2 19%

Teleop

187.8 66%

Endgame

41.3 15%

Strengths

· 70 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6071, 3568, 9776

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6071, 3568, 9776

Auto

11.8 16%

Teleop

46.5 62%

Endgame

16.5 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score286.8pts

Blue projected score78.1pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 208.7
Score range: 53–312
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 475 vs event baseline 138.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

519.1Season APEX174.7

54.2Auto11.8

187.8Teleop46.5

41.3Endgame16.5

87Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	16
teleop	222	38
endgame	65	46
foul	0	15
total	360	115

Result

Final score

360 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 55 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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