FIM District Fenton Event presented by Gene Haas Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

88.33 – 128.57

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

166 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 81.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 239 ±11.6

2145HAZMATS

Season APEX 69Event APEX 10.02Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4810I AM Robot

Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 55.57Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5084Team FridgeBot

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 22.74Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 237 ±11.6

5234Marauder Bots

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 6.24Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5229Heritage Hawkbots

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 88.61Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9207Redneck Robotics

Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 33.72Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2145, 4810, 5084

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2145, 4810, 5084

Auto

19.5 22%

Teleop

61.3 68%

Endgame

9.6 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5234, 5229, 9207

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5234, 5229, 9207

Auto

18.2 14%

Teleop

72.6 56%

Endgame

38.4 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score88.3pts

Blue projected score128.6pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -40.2
Score range: 63–154
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 380 vs event baseline 140.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

239Season APEX237

19.5Auto18.2

61.3Teleop72.6

9.6Endgame38.4

83Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	33
teleop	73	141
endgame	69	40
foul	0	0
total	166	214

Result

Final score

166 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 81.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.