FIM District Fenton Event presented by Gene Haas Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

171.48 – 178.25

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

186 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 30.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 323.4 ±11.7

9757Mecha Marauders

Season APEX 220.2Event APEX 133.51Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5532The Panther Bots

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 20.03Rank 42Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10690ERROR 448

Season APEX 68.1Event APEX 17.94Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 293.8 ±12.2

5641Byron Robotics

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 68.83Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5084Team FridgeBot

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 7.19Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5660Symmetrical Chaos

Season APEX 180.3Event APEX 102.23Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9757, 5532, 10690

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9757, 5532, 10690

Auto

29.5 17%

Teleop

85.8 50%

Endgame

56.8 33%

Strengths

· 9757 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5641, 5084, 5660

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5641, 5084, 5660

Auto

21.7 13%

Teleop

93.4 55%

Endgame

55.3 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score171.5pts

Blue projected score178.3pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.8
Score range: 147–202
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 411 vs event baseline 135.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

323.4Season APEX293.8

29.5Auto21.7

85.8Teleop93.4

56.8Endgame55.3

72Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	53
teleop	107	114
endgame	56	43
foul	0	15
total	186	225

Result

Final score

186 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 30.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.