FIM District Fenton Event presented by Gene Haas Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.74 – 80.21

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

75 – 61

Prediction missed · off by 19.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 193.8 ±12.7

3098Waterford Robotics

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 14.27Rank 34Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8193Steel Stingers

Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 20.44Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3568Linden RoboEagles

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 20.03Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 176.3 ±12.7

6067The Underdogs

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 37.31Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4130The Blue Devils

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 30.45Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2145HAZMATS

Season APEX 69Event APEX 12.45Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3098, 8193, 3568

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3098, 8193, 3568

Auto

15.3 27%

Teleop

29.9 52%

Endgame

12.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6067, 4130, 2145

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6067, 4130, 2145

Auto

7.9 11%

Teleop

38.1 51%

Endgame

28.5 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score54.7pts

Blue projected score80.2pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -25.5
Score range: 30–105
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 136 vs event baseline 137.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

193.8Season APEX176.3

15.3Auto7.9

29.9Teleop38.1

12.2Endgame28.5

55Consistency118

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	19
teleop	35	27
endgame	18	15
foul	0	0
total	75	61

Result

Final score

75 – 61

Prediction missed · off by 19.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.