Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
116.62 – 184.1
30%70%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
121 – 244
Prediction correct · off by 32.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 212.3 ±11.6
Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 55.73Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 14.97Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 72.5Event APEX 45.92Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 298.8 ±11.6
Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 73.56Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 103.7Event APEX 83.09Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 27.45Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10978, 4130, 1322
62
/ 100 compatProjected
116.6 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 10978, 4130, 1322
Auto
27.6 23%
Teleop
74.5 62%
Endgame
17.9 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5229, 7202, 8193
77
/ 100 compatProjected
184.1 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 5229, 7202, 8193
Auto
38.4 21%
Teleop
113.1 62%
Endgame
32.4 18%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.99
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score116.6pts
Blue projected score184.1pts
Red win probability30%
Event bonus sample198alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -67.5
- Score range
- 94–207
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
212.3Season APEX298.8
27.6Auto38.4
74.5Teleop113.1
17.9Endgame32.4
132Consistency28
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 18 |
| teleop | 76 | 116 |
| endgame | 22 | 110 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 121 | 244 |
Result
Final score
121 – 244
Prediction correct · off by 32.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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