FIM District Fenton Event presented by Gene Haas Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

94.13 – 42.67

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 86

Prediction missed · off by 44.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 248.3 ±11.7

5603The WarriorBots

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 33.75Rank 27Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7598SCA Constellations

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 54.65Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6073Cav-Bots

Season APEX 43Event APEX 5.73Rank 41Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 206.3 ±12.7

10690ERROR 448

Season APEX 68.1Event APEX -0.25Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2145HAZMATS

Season APEX 69Event APEX 9.23Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9237The Dragonators

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 33.69Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5603, 7598, 6073

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5603, 7598, 6073

Auto

29.1 31%

Teleop

58.1 61%

Endgame

8.0 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10690, 2145, 9237

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10690, 2145, 9237

Auto

17.0 44%

Teleop

6.1 16%

Endgame

15.5 40%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score94.1pts

Blue projected score42.7pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 51.5
Score range: 19–118
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 134 vs event baseline 132.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

248.3Season APEX206.3

29.1Auto17

58.1Teleop6.1

8Endgame15.5

58Consistency140

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	27
teleop	13	51
endgame	17	8
foul	0	0
total	48	86

Result

Final score

48 – 86

Prediction missed · off by 44.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.