FIM District Fenton Event presented by Gene Haas Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

107.79 – 180.45

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

101 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 26.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 191.8 ±13.3

3568Linden RoboEagles

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 11.47Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5641Byron Robotics

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 52.4Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7772The Lucky 7's

Season APEX 54.6Event APEX 43.92Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 378.5 ±11.2

4810I AM Robot

Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 87.01Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6067The Underdogs

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 24.33Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

70More Martians

Season APEX 208.5Event APEX 69.11Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3568, 5641, 7772

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3568, 5641, 7772

Auto

23.4 22%

Teleop

68.1 65%

Endgame

13.9 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4810, 6067, 70

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4810, 6067, 70

Auto

35.6 21%

Teleop

111.1 64%

Endgame

26.0 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score107.8pts

Blue projected score180.5pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -72.7
Score range: 84–204
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 327 vs event baseline 134.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

191.8Season APEX378.5

23.4Auto35.6

68.1Teleop111.1

13.9Endgame26

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	46
teleop	53	141
endgame	28	39
foul	0	0
total	101	226

Result

Final score

101 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 26.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.