FIM District Fenton Event presented by Gene Haas Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

125.1 – 64.62

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

84 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 29.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.8 ±12.2

4810I AM Robot

Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 101.47Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5260Owosso Robotics

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 29.7Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3568Linden RoboEagles

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX -6.07Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188.3 ±13.9

9455DinoMights

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX -1.23Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5641Byron Robotics

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 39.28Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3098Waterford Robotics

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 26.57Rank 34Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4810, 5260, 3568

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4810, 5260, 3568

Auto

21.0 17%

Teleop

71.5 57%

Endgame

32.3 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9455, 5641, 3098

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9455, 5641, 3098

Auto

19.0 30%

Teleop

38.3 61%

Endgame

5.1 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.9 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score125.1pts

Blue projected score64.6pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 60.5
Score range: 40–150
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 166 vs event baseline 137.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230.8Season APEX188.3

21Auto19

71.5Teleop38.3

32.3Endgame5.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	23
teleop	47	50
endgame	17	9
foul	0	0
total	84	82

Result

Final score

84 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 29.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.