FIM District Fenton Event presented by Gene Haas Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

164.86 – 134.88

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 203

Prediction missed · off by 91 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 201.3 ±13.3

2145HAZMATS

Season APEX 69Event APEX 34.29Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5282Railroader Robotics

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 30Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10667Genesee Wolves

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 100.57Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 310.6 ±11.6

5603The WarriorBots

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 15.14Rank 27Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8193Steel Stingers

Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 19.17Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5114Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 200Event APEX 100.57Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2145, 5282, 10667

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2145, 5282, 10667

Auto

33.4 20%

Teleop

105.4 64%

Endgame

26.0 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5603, 8193, 5114

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5603, 8193, 5114

Auto

30.4 23%

Teleop

77.4 57%

Endgame

27.2 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score164.9pts

Blue projected score134.9pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 30
Score range: 110–190
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 254 vs event baseline 139.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

201.3Season APEX310.6

33.4Auto30.4

105.4Teleop77.4

26Endgame27.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	62
teleop	13	127
endgame	10	14
foul	0	0
total	51	203

Result

Final score

51 – 203

Prediction missed · off by 91 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.