Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

373.86 – 221.74

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

265 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 75.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 596.8 ±9.9

6079JET SET

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 2.61Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5193Pantheon

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 184.6Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 186.65Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 294.6 ±11.6

10589Binary Crows

Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 70.07Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9249Chassell Copper Country Cats

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 38.53Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3602RoboMos

Season APEX 118.1Event APEX 113.14Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6079, 5193, 4391

/ 100 compat

Projected

373.9 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6079, 5193, 4391

Auto

71.9 19%

Teleop

198.5 54%

Endgame

100.2 27%

Strengths

· 4391 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10589, 9249, 3602

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10589, 9249, 3602

Auto

41.0 19%

Teleop

132.1 60%

Endgame

47.6 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score373.9pts

Blue projected score221.7pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 152.1
Score range: 191–405
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 445 vs event baseline 172.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

596.8Season APEX294.6

71.9Auto41

198.5Teleop132.1

100.2Endgame47.6

53Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	36
teleop	154	107
endgame	62	37
foul	0	0
total	265	180

Result

Final score

265 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 75.3 pts

Match videos

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