Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

186.42 – 217.9

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

218 – 305

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 259.7 ±12.7

6569Gladiators

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 44.88Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7782Wolverine Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 61.42Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9674Trojan Power Robotics

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 80.12Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 454.4 ±11.2

4392The Deceivers

Season APEX 145.2Event APEX 109.58Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5086Cadillac Connectors

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 96.48Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4377Boyne City Blaze

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 11.84Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6569, 7782, 9674

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6569, 7782, 9674

Auto

41.8 22%

Teleop

90.7 49%

Endgame

54.4 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4392, 5086, 4377

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4392, 5086, 4377

Auto

43.4 20%

Teleop

118.9 56%

Endgame

50.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score186.4pts

Blue projected score217.9pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31.5
Score range: 155–249
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 523 vs event baseline 170.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

259.7Season APEX454.4

41.8Auto43.4

90.7Teleop118.9

54.4Endgame50.1

61Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	56
teleop	113	193
endgame	64	56
foul	0	0
total	218	305

Result

Final score

218 – 305

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 pts

Match videos

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