Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

276.94 – 190.62

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

280 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 7.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 441.7 ±10.5

6637BetaWolves

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 115.16Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5486Robotic Turmoil

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 22.17Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8612Calvin Christian Robotics

Season APEX 237.6Event APEX 139.61Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 259.7 ±12.7

6569Gladiators

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 46.58Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7782Wolverine Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 62.1Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9674Trojan Power Robotics

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 81.94Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6637, 5486, 8612

/ 100 compat

Projected

276.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6637, 5486, 8612

Auto

41.9 15%

Teleop

161.1 59%

Endgame

69.2 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6569, 7782, 9674

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6569, 7782, 9674

Auto

39.4 21%

Teleop

97.7 51%

Endgame

53.8 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score276.9pts

Blue projected score190.6pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 86.3
Score range: 161–307
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 458 vs event baseline 168.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

441.7Season APEX259.7

41.9Auto39.4

161.1Teleop97.7

69.2Endgame53.8

10Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	52
teleop	144	64
endgame	99	62
foul	0	0
total	280	178

Result

Final score

280 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 7.8 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.