Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
231.86 – 208.63
57%43%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
243 – 283
Prediction missed · off by 42.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 390.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 103.63Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48Event APEX 34.9Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 93.33Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 294.6 ±11.6
Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 65.74Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 34.06Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 118.1Event APEX 108.83Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2586, 10622, 5505
78
/ 100 compatProjected
231.9 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2586, 10622, 5505
Auto
35.3 15%
Teleop
144.9 62%
Endgame
53.3 23%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10589, 9249, 3602
70
/ 100 compatProjected
208.6 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 10589, 9249, 3602
Auto
41.8 20%
Teleop
126.2 61%
Endgame
39.2 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.51
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score231.9pts
Blue projected score208.6pts
Red win probability57%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 23.2
- Score range
- 179–262
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
390.8Season APEX294.6
35.3Auto41.8
144.9Teleop126.2
53.3Endgame39.2
66Consistency15
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 41 | 40 |
| teleop | 147 | 157 |
| endgame | 50 | 86 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 243 | 283 |
Result
Final score
243 – 283
Prediction missed · off by 42.8 pts
Match videos
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