Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
239 – 244.71
48%52%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
248 – 266
Prediction correct · off by 15.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 441.7 ±10.5
Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 102.72Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 10.25Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 237.6Event APEX 126.03Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 105.01Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48Event APEX 40.09Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 99.61Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6637, 5486, 8612
76
/ 100 compatProjected
239 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 6637, 5486, 8612
Auto
38.8 17%
Teleop
125.7 54%
Endgame
66.8 29%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2586, 10622, 5505
81
/ 100 compatProjected
244.7 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 2586, 10622, 5505
Auto
40.8 17%
Teleop
146.2 60%
Endgame
58.2 24%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 1.65
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score239pts
Blue projected score244.7pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -5.7
- Score range
- 208–276
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
441.7Season APEX390.8
38.8Auto40.8
125.7Teleop146.2
66.8Endgame58.2
14Consistency83
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 47 | 35 |
| teleop | 140 | 143 |
| endgame | 61 | 88 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 248 | 266 |
Result
Final score
248 – 266
Prediction correct · off by 15.1 pts
Match videos
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