Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

142.36 – 236.77

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

109 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 22.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 364.9 ±11.7

4375Westend Gearbusters

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 51.2Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9722Polar Robotics

Season APEX 72Event APEX 30.92Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7250OsCODEa 0w|5

Season APEX 214.7Event APEX 60.24Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390.8 ±10.5

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 103.74Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10622Gwinn ModelBots

Season APEX 48Event APEX 36.83Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5505V2 - Volts Squared

Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 96.2Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4375, 9722, 7250

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4375, 9722, 7250

Auto

22.5 16%

Teleop

78.0 57%

Endgame

36.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2586, 10622, 5505

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2586, 10622, 5505

Auto

37.5 16%

Teleop

144.5 61%

Endgame

55.2 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 2.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score142.4pts

Blue projected score236.8pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -94.4
Score range: 111–268
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 335 vs event baseline 172.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

364.9Season APEX390.8

22.5Auto37.5

78Teleop144.5

36.3Endgame55.2

23Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	45
teleop	63	122
endgame	11	59
foul	0	0
total	109	226

Result

Final score

109 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 22.1 pts

Match videos

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