Qualification · Qualification 80

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

162.67 – 183.32

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

169 – 285

Prediction correct · off by 54 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 264.1 ±12.2

6112Cyberstangs

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX -9.98Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3602RoboMos

Season APEX 118.1Event APEX 108.14Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10589Binary Crows

Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 64.51Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 443.7 ±9.8

6637BetaWolves

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 106.2Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6088Stephenson Eagles

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 31.12Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7250OsCODEa 0w|5

Season APEX 214.7Event APEX 46Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6112, 3602, 10589

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6112, 3602, 10589

Auto

37.1 23%

Teleop

98.6 62%

Endgame

24.2 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6637, 6088, 7250

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6637, 6088, 7250

Auto

31.3 17%

Teleop

103.1 57%

Endgame

45.2 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score162.7pts

Blue projected score183.3pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -20.7
Score range: 133–213
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 454 vs event baseline 166.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

264.1Season APEX443.7

37.1Auto31.3

98.6Teleop103.1

24.2Endgame45.2

34Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	29
teleop	83	153
endgame	37	73
foul	0	30
total	169	285

Result

Final score

169 – 285

Prediction correct · off by 54 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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