Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
143.74 – 51.55
76%24%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
107 – 59
Prediction correct · off by 22.1 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 378.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 42.89Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 43.71Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 214.7Event APEX 57.14Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 221.9 ±13.9
Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 32.86Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 9.71Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 8.98Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7782, 6569, 7250
68
/ 100 compatProjected
143.7 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 7782, 6569, 7250
Auto
20.1 14%
Teleop
72.4 52%
Endgame
47.0 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4377, 4827, 10605
45
/ 100 compatProjected
51.6 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 4377, 4827, 10605
Auto
13.0 25%
Teleop
28.1 55%
Endgame
10.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.24 · Blue 1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score143.7pts
Blue projected score51.6pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 92.2
- Score range
- 27–169
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
378.1Season APEX221.9
20.1Auto13
72.4Teleop28.1
47Endgame10.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 19 |
| teleop | 57 | 26 |
| endgame | 23 | 14 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 107 | 59 |
Result
Final score
107 – 59
Prediction correct · off by 22.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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