Qualification · Qualification 79

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.4 – 156.85

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 34.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 168.3 ±12.7

9682Norway Robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 10.68Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4375Westend Gearbusters

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 47.68Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6079JET SET

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 15.04Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 333.5 ±12.4

4377Boyne City Blaze

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 15.72Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11466Mega-CAPs

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 32.16Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 108.97Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9682, 4375, 6079

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9682, 4375, 6079

Auto

12.0 17%

Teleop

30.5 42%

Endgame

29.6 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4377, 11466, 2586

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4377, 11466, 2586

Auto

25.5 17%

Teleop

95.2 62%

Endgame

32.8 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score73.4pts

Blue projected score156.9pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -83.4
Score range: 43–187
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 161 vs event baseline 167.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

168.3Season APEX333.5

12Auto25.5

30.5Teleop95.2

29.6Endgame32.8

9Consistency107

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	13
teleop	16	59
endgame	19	33
foul	0	0
total	56	105

Result

Final score

56 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 34.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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