Qualification · Qualification 78
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
301.07 – 194.12
79%21%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
334 – 167
Prediction correct · off by 30 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 466.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 34.48Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 195.02Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 103Event APEX 71.57Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 368.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 38.57Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48.3Event APEX 12.49Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 237.6Event APEX 143.06Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4827, 4391, 857
83
/ 100 compatProjected
301.1 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4827, 4391, 857
Auto
61.6 21%
Teleop
167.9 57%
Endgame
66.5 22%
Strengths
- · 4391 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9249, 9733, 8612
69
/ 100 compatProjected
194.1 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9249, 9733, 8612
Auto
34.8 18%
Teleop
111.5 58%
Endgame
44.5 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.31 · Blue 1.03
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score301.1pts
Blue projected score194.1pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 66%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 107
- Score range
- 164–331
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
466.6Season APEX368.3
61.6Auto34.8
167.9Teleop111.5
66.5Endgame44.5
48Consistency31
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 59 | 38 |
| teleop | 164 | 72 |
| endgame | 101 | 57 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 334 | 167 |
Result
Final score
334 – 167
Prediction correct · off by 30 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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