Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

143.68 – 238.63

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

221 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 53.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 388.5 ±11.7

7782Wolverine Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 57.45Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5706Tahquamenon Phenomenon

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX -3.49Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5086Cadillac Connectors

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 89.72Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 392.7 ±12.4

7713Norse Code

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 31.53Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6113M.A.R.C. 1

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX 13.93Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5193Pantheon

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 193.17Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7782, 5706, 5086

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7782, 5706, 5086

Auto

34.0 23%

Teleop

74.6 51%

Endgame

37.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7713, 6113, 5193

/ 100 compat

Projected

238.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7713, 6113, 5193

Auto

54.7 23%

Teleop

110.1 46%

Endgame

73.3 31%

Strengths

· 5193 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.17 · Blue 2.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score143.7pts

Blue projected score238.6pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -94.9
Score range: 114–269
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 489 vs event baseline 165.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

388.5Season APEX392.7

34Auto54.7

74.6Teleop110.1

37.1Endgame73.3

29Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	54
teleop	118	157
endgame	62	57
foul	0	0
total	221	268

Result

Final score

221 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 53.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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