Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

119.24 – 99.35

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

126 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 12.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 306.3 ±11.7

5486Robotic Turmoil

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 21.72Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9755Red Devil Robotics

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 27.35Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3770BlitzCreek

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 70.17Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.2 ±13.3

6558Aluminum Sting

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 16.16Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9722Polar Robotics

Season APEX 72Event APEX 32.28Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9773Cardinal Robotics

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 50.91Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5486, 9755, 3770

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5486, 9755, 3770

Auto

24.5 20%

Teleop

51.8 43%

Endgame

44.1 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6558, 9722, 9773

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6558, 9722, 9773

Auto

24.4 24%

Teleop

56.9 57%

Endgame

19.0 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score119.2pts

Blue projected score99.4pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 19.9
Score range: 69–149
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 208 vs event baseline 165.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

306.3Season APEX217.2

24.5Auto24.4

51.8Teleop56.9

44.1Endgame19

5Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	23
teleop	65	41
endgame	45	18
foul	0	0
total	126	82

Result

Final score

126 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 12.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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