Qualification · Qualification 72
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
66.65 – 203.57
15%85%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
46 – 252
Prediction correct · off by 34.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.9 ±13.3
Season APEX 48.3Event APEX 14.87Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 18.46Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 33.32Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 433.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 63.37Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 85.75Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 54.45Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9733, 6079, 7713
33
/ 100 compatProjected
66.7 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9733, 6079, 7713
Auto
19.1 31%
Teleop
21.2 34%
Endgame
22.1 35%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10589, 5086, 9548
72
/ 100 compatProjected
203.6 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 10589, 5086, 9548
Auto
35.6 18%
Teleop
113.5 56%
Endgame
52.6 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.44
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score66.7pts
Blue projected score203.6pts
Red win probability15%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 70%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -136.9
- Score range
- 37–234
- Upset likelihood
- 15%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
162.9Season APEX433.8
19.1Auto35.6
21.2Teleop113.5
22.1Endgame52.6
21Consistency36
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 57 |
| teleop | 24 | 145 |
| endgame | 6 | 50 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 46 | 252 |
Result
Final score
46 – 252
Prediction correct · off by 34.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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