Qualification · Qualification 71
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
252.18 – 57.65
92%8%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
254 – 51
Prediction correct · off by 4.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 361.4 ±11
Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 92.24Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 59Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 145.2Event APEX 100.94Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 177 ±15.8
Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 14.74Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 2.63Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 40.28Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5505, 7782, 4392
83
/ 100 compatProjected
252.2 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5505, 7782, 4392
Auto
47.3 19%
Teleop
139.3 55%
Endgame
66.6 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9682, 5702, 6569
37
/ 100 compatProjected
57.7 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9682, 5702, 6569
Auto
17.6 30%
Teleop
25.2 43%
Endgame
16.4 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.61 · Blue 0.8
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score252.2pts
Blue projected score57.7pts
Red win probability92%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 69%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 194.5
- Score range
- 28–282
- Upset likelihood
- 8%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
361.4Season APEX177
47.3Auto17.6
139.3Teleop25.2
66.6Endgame16.4
15Consistency41
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 41 | 22 |
| teleop | 160 | 27 |
| endgame | 53 | 2 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 254 | 51 |
Result
Final score
254 – 51
Prediction correct · off by 4.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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