Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

96.6 – 64.88

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

74 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 12.4 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 181.1 ±13.9

6112Cyberstangs

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX -Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7713Norse Code

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX -Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11466Mega-CAPs

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 45.43Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.1 ±14.9

5702Robotowatomi

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX -Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6088Stephenson Eagles

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX -Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9755Red Devil Robotics

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 13.71Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6112, 7713, 11466

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6112, 7713, 11466

Auto

25.1 26%

Teleop

51.6 53%

Endgame

19.9 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5702, 6088, 9755

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5702, 6088, 9755

Auto

17.9 28%

Teleop

32.4 50%

Endgame

14.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.68 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score96.6pts

Blue projected score64.9pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 31.7
Score range: 37–125
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 141 vs event baseline 153.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

181.1Season APEX193.1

9.7Auto2.6

26Teleop6.9

9.7Endgame4.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	14
teleop	38	28
endgame	21	25
foul	0	0
total	74	67

Result

Final score

74 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 12.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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