Qualification · Qualification 67
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
73.9 – 256.71
9%91%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
83 – 335
Prediction correct · off by 43.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 138.8 ±13.3
Season APEX 48Event APEX 25.89Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39.5Event APEX 13.83Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 34.18Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 517.9 ±9.9
Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 56.3Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 237.6Event APEX 136.54Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 63.87Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10622, 6113, 11466
45
/ 100 compatProjected
73.9 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 10622, 6113, 11466
Auto
15.8 21%
Teleop
38.6 51%
Endgame
20.7 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10589, 8612, 3770
82
/ 100 compatProjected
256.7 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 10589, 8612, 3770
Auto
46.2 18%
Teleop
147.9 58%
Endgame
60.3 24%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.76 · Blue 2.51
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score73.9pts
Blue projected score256.7pts
Red win probability9%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -182.8
- Score range
- 44–287
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
138.8Season APEX517.9
15.8Auto46.2
38.6Teleop147.9
20.7Endgame60.3
79Consistency23
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 26 | 43 |
| teleop | 31 | 195 |
| endgame | 26 | 97 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 83 | 335 |
Result
Final score
83 – 335
Prediction correct · off by 43.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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