Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

322.19 – 153.47

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

257 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 56.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 505.4 ±11.2

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 199.68Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10605Techno Talons

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 16.29Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4392The Deceivers

Season APEX 145.2Event APEX 106.22Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.2 ±14

5702Robotowatomi

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 7.1Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9773Cardinal Robotics

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 55.56Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5086Cadillac Connectors

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 90.81Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4391, 10605, 4392

/ 100 compat

Projected

322.2 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4391, 10605, 4392

Auto

56.2 18%

Teleop

180.4 58%

Endgame

76.9 25%

Strengths

· 4391 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5702, 9773, 5086

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5702, 9773, 5086

Auto

36.8 24%

Teleop

80.6 52%

Endgame

36.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score322.2pts

Blue projected score153.5pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 168.7
Score range: 123–352
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 362 vs event baseline 165.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

505.4Season APEX379.2

56.2Auto36.8

180.4Teleop80.6

76.9Endgame36.3

34Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	26
teleop	145	53
endgame	59	26
foul	0	0
total	257	105

Result

Final score

257 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 56.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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