Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

141.38 – 163.23

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

109 – 165

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 241.9 ±13.3

9674Trojan Power Robotics

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 85.25Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7713Norse Code

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 36.69Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4377Boyne City Blaze

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 19.44Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.9 ±12.8

3602RoboMos

Season APEX 118.1Event APEX 113.55Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6569Gladiators

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 38.36Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9733Gold Diggers

Season APEX 48.3Event APEX 11.32Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9674, 7713, 4377

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9674, 7713, 4377

Auto

33.4 24%

Teleop

61.9 44%

Endgame

45.3 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3602, 6569, 9733

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3602, 6569, 9733

Auto

32.1 20%

Teleop

101.8 65%

Endgame

23.7 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score141.4pts

Blue projected score163.2pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.8
Score range: 111–193
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 274 vs event baseline 166.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

241.9Season APEX241.9

33.4Auto32.1

61.9Teleop101.8

45.3Endgame23.7

27Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	41
teleop	48	96
endgame	28	28
foul	15	0
total	109	165

Result

Final score

109 – 165

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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