Qualification · Qualification 64
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
54.98 – 209.53
13%87%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
62 – 218
Prediction correct · off by 7.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 197.8 ±12.7
Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 39.54Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 59.1Event APEX -7.41Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 22.85Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 312.8 ±11
Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 105.4Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 90.88Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 13.25Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9249, 5706, 5486
34
/ 100 compatProjected
55 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9249, 5706, 5486
Auto
18.7 33%
Teleop
24.6 44%
Endgame
12.7 23%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6637, 5505, 6079
70
/ 100 compatProjected
209.5 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 6637, 5505, 6079
Auto
32.3 15%
Teleop
124.6 60%
Endgame
51.6 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.76 · Blue 2.37
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score55pts
Blue projected score209.5pts
Red win probability13%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -154.5
- Score range
- 25–240
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
197.8Season APEX312.8
18.7Auto32.3
24.6Teleop124.6
12.7Endgame51.6
17Consistency1
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 39 |
| teleop | 20 | 136 |
| endgame | 18 | 43 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 62 | 218 |
Result
Final score
62 – 218
Prediction correct · off by 7.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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