Qualification · Qualification 61
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
157.17 – 45.68
80%20%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
153 – 193
Prediction missed · off by 75.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 356.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 63.23Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 103Event APEX 70.97Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 22.97Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 316.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 48Event APEX 10.99Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 214.7Event APEX 36.85Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 53.4Event APEX -2.16Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3770, 857, 4835
62
/ 100 compatProjected
157.2 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3770, 857, 4835
Auto
42.4 27%
Teleop
73.8 47%
Endgame
42.5 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10622, 7250, 9682
29
/ 100 compatProjected
45.7 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 10622, 7250, 9682
Auto
7.2 15%
Teleop
22.3 46%
Endgame
18.7 39%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.31 · Blue 0.98
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score157.2pts
Blue projected score45.7pts
Red win probability80%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 111.5
- Score range
- 16–187
- Upset likelihood
- 20%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
356.7Season APEX316.1
42.4Auto7.2
73.8Teleop22.3
42.5Endgame18.7
17Consistency20
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 34 |
| teleop | 80 | 116 |
| endgame | 49 | 43 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 153 | 193 |
Result
Final score
153 – 193
Prediction missed · off by 75.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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