Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

33.11 – 82.31

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 14.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 152.7 ±15.3

5702Robotowatomi

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 6.26Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

5486Robotic Turmoil

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 22.2Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9733Gold Diggers

Season APEX 48.3Event APEX 4.65Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 200 ±13.3

11466Mega-CAPs

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 36.12Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9773Cardinal Robotics

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 55.33Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5706Tahquamenon Phenomenon

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX -9.14Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5702, 5486, 9733

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5702, 5486, 9733

Auto

18.9 72%

Teleop

0.4 2%

Endgame

6.8 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11466, 9773, 5706

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11466, 9773, 5706

Auto

15.9 19%

Teleop

57.3 68%

Endgame

10.8 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.21 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score33.1pts

Blue projected score82.3pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -49.2
Score range: 3–112
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 144 vs event baseline 167.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

152.7Season APEX200

18.9Auto15.9

0.4Teleop57.3

6.8Endgame10.8

20Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	26
teleop	22	45
endgame	15	16
foul	0	0
total	57	87

Result

Final score

57 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 14.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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