Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

278.25 – 138.04

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

219 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 80.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 436.9 ±10.5

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 120.64Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10589Binary Crows

Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 62Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5505V2 - Volts Squared

Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 95.61Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232.3 ±13.3

9249Chassell Copper Country Cats

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 50.97Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7713Norse Code

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 46.65Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9722Polar Robotics

Season APEX 72Event APEX 40.42Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2586, 10589, 5505

/ 100 compat

Projected

278.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2586, 10589, 5505

Auto

50.2 18%

Teleop

160.0 58%

Endgame

67.7 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9249, 7713, 9722

/ 100 compat

Projected

138 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9249, 7713, 9722

Auto

26.8 19%

Teleop

70.9 50%

Endgame

43.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score278.3pts

Blue projected score138pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 140.2
Score range: 108–308
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 256 vs event baseline 168.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

436.9Season APEX232.3

50.2Auto26.8

160Teleop70.9

67.7Endgame43

60Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	24
teleop	162	13
endgame	32	0
foul	0	0
total	219	37

Result

Final score

219 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 80.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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