Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

275.87 – 209.49

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

264 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 55.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 441.5 ±11.2

6569Gladiators

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 37.37Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6088Stephenson Eagles

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 35.48Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 203.02Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 291.3 ±12.2

6558Aluminum Sting

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 33.52Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7782Wolverine Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 59.75Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6637BetaWolves

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 116.22Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6569, 6088, 4391

/ 100 compat

Projected

275.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6569, 6088, 4391

Auto

51.6 19%

Teleop

153.5 57%

Endgame

64.4 24%

Strengths

· 4391 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6558, 7782, 6637

/ 100 compat

Projected

209.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6558, 7782, 6637

Auto

36.0 17%

Teleop

121.7 58%

Endgame

51.4 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score275.9pts

Blue projected score209.5pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.4
Score range: 179–306
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 375 vs event baseline 167.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

441.5Season APEX291.3

51.6Auto36

153.5Teleop121.7

64.4Endgame51.4

80Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	37
teleop	142	65
endgame	63	9
foul	0	0
total	264	111

Result

Final score

264 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 55.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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