Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

297.38 – 143.44

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

235 – 165

Prediction correct · off by 42 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 588.2 ±10.7

7250OsCODEa 0w|5

Season APEX 214.7Event APEX 40.56Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9548Bark River Bronconaughts

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 60.09Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5193Pantheon

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 196.73Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 222.5 ±12.1

10622Gwinn ModelBots

Season APEX 48Event APEX 7.38Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4375Westend Gearbusters

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 50.45Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9674Trojan Power Robotics

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 85.61Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7250, 9548, 5193

/ 100 compat

Projected

297.4 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7250, 9548, 5193

Auto

51.0 17%

Teleop

156.7 53%

Endgame

89.3 30%

Strengths

· 5193 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10622, 4375, 9674

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10622, 4375, 9674

Auto

30.9 22%

Teleop

68.4 49%

Endgame

40.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.47 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score297.4pts

Blue projected score143.4pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 153.9
Score range: 113–327
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 400 vs event baseline 167.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

588.2Season APEX222.5

51Auto30.9

156.7Teleop68.4

89.3Endgame40.5

38Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	20
teleop	115	87
endgame	63	58
foul	0	0
total	235	165

Result

Final score

235 – 165

Prediction correct · off by 42 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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