Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.16 – 248.08

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 30.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 167.4 ±13.3

4827Minerbotics

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 27.33Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6079JET SET

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 14.86Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6112Cyberstangs

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX -4.03Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 431.1 ±11.2

10605Techno Talons

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 10.58Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3602RoboMos

Season APEX 118.1Event APEX 108.6Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8612Calvin Christian Robotics

Season APEX 237.6Event APEX 128.9Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4827, 6079, 6112

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4827, 6079, 6112

Auto

17.3 44%

Teleop

5.1 13%

Endgame

16.5 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10605, 3602, 8612

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.1 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10605, 3602, 8612

Auto

44.2 18%

Teleop

156.3 63%

Endgame

47.7 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.59 · Blue 2.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score38.2pts

Blue projected score248.1pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -209.9
Score range: 8–278
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 347 vs event baseline 167.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

167.4Season APEX431.1

17.3Auto44.2

5.1Teleop156.3

16.5Endgame47.7

29Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	33
teleop	12	192
endgame	8	66
foul	0	15
total	41	306

Result

Final score

41 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 30.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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