Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

146.69 – 99.49

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

114 – 152

Prediction missed · off by 42.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 243 ±13.3

7713Norse Code

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 52.31Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6569Gladiators

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 41.22Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9773Cardinal Robotics

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 53.16Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 338 ±12.4

9722Polar Robotics

Season APEX 72Event APEX 34.38Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11466Mega-CAPs

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 30.37Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7250OsCODEa 0w|5

Season APEX 214.7Event APEX 34.74Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7713, 6569, 9773

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7713, 6569, 9773

Auto

32.6 22%

Teleop

79.7 54%

Endgame

36.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9722, 11466, 7250

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9722, 11466, 7250

Auto

12.4 12%

Teleop

67.2 67%

Endgame

20.4 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.91 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score146.7pts

Blue projected score99.5pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 47.2
Score range: 69–177
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 266 vs event baseline 168.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

243Season APEX338

32.6Auto12.4

79.7Teleop67.2

36.1Endgame20.4

57Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	29
teleop	66	86
endgame	25	37
foul	0	0
total	114	152

Result

Final score

114 – 152

Prediction missed · off by 42.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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