Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

131.61 – 229.97

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

116 – 284

Prediction correct · off by 34.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 208 ±13.9

10595Big Bay de Noc Black Bear Bolts

Season APEX 70.3Event APEX 49.32Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9548Bark River Bronconaughts

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 63.7Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6113M.A.R.C. 1

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX 18.59Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 385.3 ±11.7

9755Red Devil Robotics

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 24.1Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 198.91Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6079JET SET

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 6.96Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10595, 9548, 6113

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10595, 9548, 6113

Auto

22.6 17%

Teleop

71.0 53%

Endgame

39.7 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9755, 4391, 6079

/ 100 compat

Projected

230 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9755, 4391, 6079

Auto

33.0 15%

Teleop

117.2 53%

Endgame

71.6 32%

Strengths

· 4391 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 2.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score131.6pts

Blue projected score230pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -98.4
Score range: 102–260
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 400 vs event baseline 166.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

208Season APEX385.3

22.6Auto33

71Teleop117.2

39.7Endgame71.6

91Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	49
teleop	45	154
endgame	45	81
foul	5	0
total	116	284

Result

Final score

116 – 284

Prediction correct · off by 34.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.