Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

208.3 – 0

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

225 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 30.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 303.4 ±12.2

5505V2 - Volts Squared

Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 91.48Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9674Trojan Power Robotics

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 86.74Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4827Minerbotics

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 30.08Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 161.6 ±13.3

9682Norway Robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX -15.36Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5486Robotic Turmoil

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 23.46Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6112Cyberstangs

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX -10.26Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5505, 9674, 4827

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5505, 9674, 4827

Auto

36.7 18%

Teleop

109.5 53%

Endgame

61.9 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9682, 5486, 6112

/ 100 compat

Projected

-2.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9682, 5486, 6112

Auto

13.1 100%

Teleop

-19.0 0%

Endgame

6.3 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score208.3pts

Blue projected score-2.2pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 208.3
Score range: -30–238
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 270 vs event baseline 167.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

303.4Season APEX161.6

36.7Auto13.1

109.5Teleop-19

61.9Endgame6.3

19Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	19
teleop	116	10
endgame	46	16
foul	0	0
total	225	45

Result

Final score

225 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 30.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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