Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

296.21 – 242.24

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

325 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 18 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 463.3 ±11.2

6637BetaWolves

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 119.63Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8612Calvin Christian Robotics

Season APEX 237.6Event APEX 125.28Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7713Norse Code

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 51.3Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 410.5 ±12.4

4835Junkyard Dawgs

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 6.69Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4377Boyne City Blaze

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 30.86Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5193Pantheon

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 204.69Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6637, 8612, 7713

/ 100 compat

Projected

296.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6637, 8612, 7713

Auto

49.9 17%

Teleop

178.6 61%

Endgame

64.6 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4835, 4377, 5193

/ 100 compat

Projected

242.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4835, 4377, 5193

Auto

46.0 19%

Teleop

114.5 48%

Endgame

79.6 33%

Strengths

· 5193 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.99 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score296.2pts

Blue projected score242.2pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54
Score range: 212–326
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 560 vs event baseline 165.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

463.3Season APEX410.5

49.9Auto46

178.6Teleop114.5

64.6Endgame79.6

16Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	58
teleop	175	119
endgame	103	58
foul	0	0
total	325	235

Result

Final score

325 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 18 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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