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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
FIM District Escanaba Event

Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

318.2 – 99.48

94%6%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

303 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 12.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 459 ±11.1
9773Cardinal Robotics
C
Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 60.01Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
10589Binary Crows
C
Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 51Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
5193Pantheon
A
Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 207.19Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 326 ±11.7
6112Cyberstangs
D
Season APEX 51.9Event APEX -11.14Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
3770BlitzCreek
B
Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 55.72Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
7782Wolverine Circuit Breakers
C
Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 54.9Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9773, 10589, 5193
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
318.2 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 9773, 10589, 5193
Auto
59.9 19%
Teleop
187.6 59%
Endgame
71.8 22%
Strengths
  • · 5193 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6112, 3770, 7782
44
/ 100 compat
Projected
99.5 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6112, 3770, 7782
Auto
40.2 39%
Teleop
47.7 46%
Endgame
15.0 15%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.58 · Blue 0.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score318.2pts
Blue projected score99.5pts
Red win probability94%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
218.7
Score range
70–347
Upset likelihood
6%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 392 vs event baseline 163.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

459Season APEX326
59.9Auto40.2
187.6Teleop47.7
71.8Endgame15
42Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto7328
teleop13821
endgame9240
foul00
total30389

Result

Final score

303 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 12.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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