Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

323.88 – 80.85

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

394 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 488.9 ±10.5

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 196.18Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6637BetaWolves

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 106.43Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5486Robotic Turmoil

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 21.27Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 368 ±12.4

7250OsCODEa 0w|5

Season APEX 214.7Event APEX 29.45Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7713Norse Code

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 48.5Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10605Techno Talons

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 2.9Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4391, 6637, 5486

/ 100 compat

Projected

323.9 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4391, 6637, 5486

Auto

54.5 17%

Teleop

190.3 61%

Endgame

69.7 22%

Strengths

· 4391 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7250, 7713, 10605

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7250, 7713, 10605

Auto

15.2 19%

Teleop

44.9 55%

Endgame

21.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.56 · Blue 0.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score323.9pts

Blue projected score80.9pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 243
Score range: 52–353
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 490 vs event baseline 161.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

488.9Season APEX368

54.5Auto15.2

190.3Teleop44.9

69.7Endgame21.1

91Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	27
teleop	221	47
endgame	98	22
foul	15	0
total	394	96

Result

Final score

394 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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