Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

190.58 – 69.67

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

195 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 20 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.8 ±11.6

9773Cardinal Robotics

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 50.81Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9249Chassell Copper Country Cats

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 37.37Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6637BetaWolves

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 102.4Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.7 ±13.9

6113M.A.R.C. 1

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX 17.12Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4827Minerbotics

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 41.55Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9682Norway Robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 11Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9773, 9249, 6637

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9773, 9249, 6637

Auto

32.8 17%

Teleop

110.3 59%

Endgame

44.5 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6113, 4827, 9682

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6113, 4827, 9682

Auto

17.5 25%

Teleop

28.1 40%

Endgame

23.9 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score190.6pts

Blue projected score69.7pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 120.9
Score range: 38–223
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 229 vs event baseline 178.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

319.8Season APEX171.7

32.8Auto17.5

110.3Teleop28.1

44.5Endgame23.9

27Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	13
teleop	108	4
endgame	42	17
foul	0	0
total	195	34

Result

Final score

195 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 20 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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