Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.29 – 104.17

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 221

Prediction correct · off by 73.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 176.7 ±13.9

6558Aluminum Sting

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 31.07Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9682Norway Robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX -0.11Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4377Boyne City Blaze

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 36.33Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 367 ±12.4

5706Tahquamenon Phenomenon

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX -34.41Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10595Big Bay de Noc Black Bear Bolts

Season APEX 70.3Event APEX 41.14Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8612Calvin Christian Robotics

Season APEX 237.6Event APEX 97.44Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6558, 9682, 4377

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6558, 9682, 4377

Auto

17.2 27%

Teleop

43.7 68%

Endgame

3.0 5%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5706, 10595, 8612

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5706, 10595, 8612

Auto

15.3 15%

Teleop

60.2 58%

Endgame

28.7 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67.3pts

Blue projected score104.2pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -36.9
Score range: 38–133
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 258 vs event baseline 162.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

176.7Season APEX367

17.2Auto15.3

43.7Teleop60.2

3Endgame28.7

16Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	52
teleop	4	143
endgame	20	26
foul	0	0
total	37	221

Result

Final score

37 – 221

Prediction correct · off by 73.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.