Qualification · Qualification 36
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
194.44 – 188.93
52%48%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
136 – 226
Prediction missed · off by 47.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 268.5 ±12.7
Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 63.33Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 61.05Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 70.06Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 355.6 ±11.2
Season APEX 118.1Event APEX 97.39Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 29.96Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 61.58Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9548, 9249, 7782
74
/ 100 compatProjected
194.4 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9548, 9249, 7782
Auto
40.9 21%
Teleop
109.0 55%
Endgame
48.9 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3602, 11466, 3770
66
/ 100 compatProjected
188.9 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 3602, 11466, 3770
Auto
36.1 19%
Teleop
111.6 60%
Endgame
38.4 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.63
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score194.4pts
Blue projected score188.9pts
Red win probability52%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 68%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 5.5
- Score range
- 160–223
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
268.5Season APEX355.6
40.9Auto36.1
109Teleop111.6
48.9Endgame38.4
77Consistency40
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 37 |
| teleop | 70 | 158 |
| endgame | 43 | 26 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 136 | 226 |
Result
Final score
136 – 226
Prediction missed · off by 47.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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