Qualification · Qualification 35
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
268.75 – 210.06
67%33%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
376 – 178
Prediction correct · off by 69.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 457.2 ±10.5
Season APEX 145.2Event APEX 87.57Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 186.11Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 36.7Event APEX -4.93Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 312.5 ±11
Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 42.02Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 103Event APEX 59.05Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 108.99Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4392, 5193, 6079
83
/ 100 compatProjected
268.8 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 4392, 5193, 6079
Auto
51.3 19%
Teleop
129.2 49%
Endgame
84.9 32%
Strengths
- · 5193 anchors offense
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6088, 857, 5505
74
/ 100 compatProjected
210.1 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 6088, 857, 5505
Auto
37.6 17%
Teleop
130.2 60%
Endgame
47.7 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2 · Blue 1.35
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score268.8pts
Blue projected score210.1pts
Red win probability67%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 58.7
- Score range
- 181–298
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
457.2Season APEX312.5
51.3Auto37.6
129.2Teleop130.2
84.9Endgame47.7
45Consistency78
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 68 | 47 |
| teleop | 183 | 59 |
| endgame | 125 | 72 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 376 | 178 |
Result
Final score
376 – 178
Prediction correct · off by 69.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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