Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

111.04 – 87.28

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

175 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 35.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 295.2 ±12.8

9722Polar Robotics

Season APEX 72Event APEX 38.92Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6637BetaWolves

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 88.56Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10605Techno Talons

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX -16.44Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.1 ±13.3

9733Gold Diggers

Season APEX 48.3Event APEX 26.62Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9674Trojan Power Robotics

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 77.53Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6113M.A.R.C. 1

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX -16.87Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9722, 6637, 10605

/ 100 compat

Projected

111 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9722, 6637, 10605

Auto

12.9 12%

Teleop

64.5 59%

Endgame

32.7 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9733, 9674, 6113

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9733, 9674, 6113

Auto

24.6 32%

Teleop

21.0 27%

Endgame

30.9 40%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.8 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score111pts

Blue projected score87.3pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 23.8
Score range: 58–140
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 269 vs event baseline 163.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

295.2Season APEX184.1

12.9Auto24.6

64.5Teleop21

32.7Endgame30.9

128Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	21
teleop	109	38
endgame	32	35
foul	0	0
total	175	94

Result

Final score

175 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 35.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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