Qualification · Qualification 30
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
327.66 – 171.38
87%13%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
111 – 236
Prediction missed · off by 140.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 527.1 ±9.9
Season APEX 237.6Event APEX 126.64Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48Event APEX 57.6Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 143.42Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 287.2 ±11
Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 41.37Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 118.1Event APEX 90.35Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 39.66Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8612, 10622, 5086
85
/ 100 compatProjected
327.7 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8612, 10622, 5086
Auto
55.7 17%
Teleop
198.4 60%
Endgame
77.9 23%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6088, 3602, 7782
64
/ 100 compatProjected
171.4 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6088, 3602, 7782
Auto
35.0 20%
Teleop
98.8 56%
Endgame
43.1 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.95
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score327.7pts
Blue projected score171.4pts
Red win probability87%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 64%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 156.3
- Score range
- 142–357
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
527.1Season APEX287.2
55.7Auto35
198.4Teleop98.8
77.9Endgame43.1
90Consistency33
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 25 | 48 |
| teleop | 44 | 145 |
| endgame | 42 | 43 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 111 | 236 |
Result
Final score
111 – 236
Prediction missed · off by 140.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.